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DILLARD'S (DDS)·Q4 2026 Earnings Summary

Dillard's Q4 2026: EPS Beats Big, But Revenue Miss and Flat Comps Sink Stock 8%

February 24, 2026 · by Fintool AI Agent

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Dillard's delivered a tale of two metrics in Q4 2026: earnings per share crushed expectations by 33%, but revenue came up short and comparable store sales declined 1%. The market focused on the top-line weakness, sending shares down nearly 8% on the day.

CEO William T. Dillard, II called it "a respectable year" while highlighting the company's 40.8% retail gross margin achievement and record $30 per share special dividend.


Did Dillard's Beat Earnings in Q4 2026?

Mixed. EPS crushed estimates; revenue missed.

MetricActualConsensusSurprise
Revenue$1.96B $2.03B-2.0%
EPS (Reported)$13.05 $9.14+42.8%
EPS (Normalized)$12.16*$9.14+33.0%

*Normalized EPS excludes one-time items including $0.73/share gain from property sale and $2.24/share tax benefit from ESOP dividend deduction. Values retrieved from S&P Global.

The EPS beat was substantial, but investors appear concerned about the top-line miss and ongoing traffic challenges in department stores.

Full Year Summary

MetricFY 2026FY 2025Change
Net Sales$6.47B $6.48BFlat
Net Income$570.2M $593.5M-3.9%
EPS$36.42 $36.82-1.1%
Retail Gross Margin40.8% 41.0%-20 bps

What Drove the Quarter?

Comparable Store Sales

Comp sales declined 1% in Q4, with management noting that over a third of stores were disrupted by a winter storm during the third weekend of January.

Category performance (Q4 vs prior year):

CategoryPerformance
Ladies' Accessories & Lingerie↑ Increased moderately
Shoes→ Unchanged
Ladies' Apparel↓ Moderate decline
Cosmetics↓ Moderate decline
Men's Apparel & Accessories↓ Moderate decline
Juniors' & Children's↓ Moderate decline
Home & Furniture↓ Moderate decline

For the full year, total retail sales and comp sales were unchanged — a notable achievement in a challenging retail environment.

Margin Analysis

Retail gross margin held flat at 36.1% in Q4 despite the promotional retail environment.

  • Ladies' apparel and juniors'/children's margins improved moderately
  • Men's apparel & accessories margins declined moderately
  • All other categories held steady

Operating expenses rose to 23.6% of sales (vs 22.4% last year), driven primarily by payroll and payroll-related expenses.

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How Did the Stock React?

Dillard's shares dropped 7.8% on the earnings release, closing at $595.88 after opening at $608.57.

MetricValue
Close Price$595.88
Change-$50.30 (-7.8%)
Day Range$575.10 - $613.97
Volume302,117 (elevated)
52-Week Range$282.24 - $741.98

The selloff reflects investor concern about:

  1. Revenue miss — top-line growth remains elusive
  2. Negative comp sales — traffic challenges persist
  3. Rising SG&A — labor costs pressuring margins
  4. No guidance raise — company provided flat-to-modest expectations for FY 2027

What Did Management Guide?

Dillard's provided the following estimates for FY 2027:

ItemFY 2027 Est.FY 2026 Actual
Depreciation & Amortization$175M$179M
Rentals$18M$19M
Interest Income, net$5M$6M
Capital Expenditures$130M$93M

The 40% increase in planned capex ($130M vs $93M actual) stands out. The company is opening a new 160,000 square foot store at The Mall at Fairfield Commons in Beavercreek, Ohio in March 2026.

Consensus Expectations for FY 2027

MetricFY 2027 Consensus
Revenue$6.65B*
EPS$27.92*

*Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Analysts expect EPS to decline 21% next year, suggesting the market anticipates margin normalization and continued topline pressure.


Capital Allocation Highlights

Dillard's continues to prioritize shareholder returns:

Dividends:

  • Paid a $30 per share special dividend in FY 2026 — the largest in company history
  • Prior year: $25 per share special dividend
  • Total cash dividends paid: $484.8M

Share Repurchases:

  • Repurchased ~300,000 shares for $107.8M at an average price of $359.16
  • $165.2M remaining under the May 2023 authorization
  • Shares outstanding: 15.6M (vs 15.9M a year ago)

Balance Sheet Strength:

  • Cash & equivalents: $861.5M (vs $717.9M)
  • Short-term investments: $211.5M
  • Total liquidity: ~$1.1 billion
  • Total debt: $321.7M (current + long-term)
  • Stockholders' equity: $1.78B
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What Changed From Last Quarter?

MetricQ4 2026Q3 2026Change
Revenue$1.99B $1.49B +33.4%
Net Income$203.7M $129.8M +56.9%
EPS$13.05 $8.31 +57.0%
Gross Margin36.1% 44.2%*Seasonal

*Q3 typically has higher margins; Q4 is the holiday quarter with more promotional activity.

Q4 is seasonally the largest quarter for department stores. The sequential increase is expected, but year-over-year comparisons show pressure.


Historical EPS Performance

PeriodEPS ActualConsensusBeat/MissStock Reaction
Q4 2026$13.05 $9.14*+43% Beat-7.8%
Q3 2026$8.31 $6.20*+34% BeatN/A
Q2 2026$4.66 $3.30*+41% BeatN/A
Q1 2026$10.39 $9.25*+12% BeatN/A
Q4 2025$13.48 $9.71*+39% BeatN/A

*Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Dillard's has beaten EPS estimates for 5 consecutive quarters, but the stock's reaction today suggests the EPS beat alone isn't enough when revenue and traffic disappoint.


Key Risks and Concerns

  1. Traffic headwinds — Comp sales flat-to-negative despite strong merchandising
  2. Rising labor costs — SG&A up 60 bps YoY as a percentage of sales
  3. Inventory build — Inventory up 2% despite flat sales
  4. Department store secular decline — Mall traffic continues to erode
  5. Tariff uncertainty — Management cited trade disputes and tariff impacts as risk factors

Store Footprint

Dillard's operates 271 stores (including 28 clearance centers) across 30 states, totaling 46.0 million square feet.

Upcoming opening: New 160,000 sq ft store at The Mall at Fairfield Commons in Beavercreek, Ohio (March 2026)


Forward Catalysts

  • New store opening — Ohio location in March 2026
  • Q1 2027 earnings — Watch for early spring selling trends
  • Capital allocation decisions — Will they continue special dividends?
  • Tariff policy clarity — Potential cost headwinds from trade policy
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Bottom Line

Dillard's Q4 2026 illustrates the department store paradox: strong margin management and capital returns can't fully offset persistent top-line challenges. The company beat EPS by 33% and returned nearly $600M to shareholders through dividends and buybacks, but flat comps and a revenue miss dominated the narrative.

With $1.1 billion in liquidity, a clean balance sheet, and disciplined operations, Dillard's remains well-positioned to weather the secular headwinds facing traditional department stores. But until traffic trends improve, the stock may continue to face skepticism from growth-focused investors.


Report generated by Fintool AI Agent on February 24, 2026. Data sourced from company filings and S&P Global.